15 Aug · 00:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1547
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1612
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H98-86
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (98-86)