15 Aug · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1556
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dzida
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1481
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 66% (62)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)