15 Aug · 16:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1488
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Precek
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1481
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 66% (62)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.