15 Aug · 17:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1662
FormWLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Rek
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1486
FormLWLLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+176
H2H29-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-23)