15 Aug · 22:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1317
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hruby
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1370
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Hruby
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.