15 Aug · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1565
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jnr
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1452
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 73% (66)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)