15 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1549
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ruzicka
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1539
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.