15 Aug · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1501
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1532
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.