15 Aug · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1549
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1662
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H32-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-22)