15 Aug · 17:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1539
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vosyka
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1541
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.