15 Aug · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1552
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vitasek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1504
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Travnicek🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (54)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H29-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.