15 Aug · 21:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1505
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Komorowicz
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Komorowicz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.