16 Aug · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1553
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1616
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Gembala covers set handicap as underdog 65% (40)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H6-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)