16 Aug · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1789
FormWWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Moravec
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1536
FormLLLLW
70%
30%
🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (62)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+253
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+253)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)