16 Aug · 09:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1789
FormWWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Moravec
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1553
FormLLWLW
68%
32%
🌟Gembala covers set handicap as underdog 65% (40)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+236
H2H7-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+236)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)