16 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1674
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1708
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Kadavy covers set handicap as underdog 64% (42)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.