16 Aug · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1453
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1527
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
🌟Jemelka covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)