16 Aug · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1722
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vorisek
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1674
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kadavy🌟Kadavy covers set handicap as underdog 64% (42)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H25-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.