16 Aug · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1457
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1527
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)