16 Aug · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Horky
ELO 1460
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Horky
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1372
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Horky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)