16 Aug · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1576
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1616
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.