16 Aug · 08:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1537
FormLWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1722
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+185
H2H119-112
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (119-112)