16 Aug · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1616
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1536
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (62)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)