16 Aug · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1584
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skalicky
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1523
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)