16 Aug · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1313
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chmelicek
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1349
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H10-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.