16 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1708
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1722
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jicha🌟Jicha covers set handicap as underdog 74% (35)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H113-148
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.