16 Aug · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1580
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1523
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (68)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)