15 Aug · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1505
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1589
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H22-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-11)