16 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1553
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Koutnik
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1466
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Koutnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (37)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)