16 Aug · 14:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1386
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
35%
65%
🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (54)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+194
H2H24-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-16)