16 Aug · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1471
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1522
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (83)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H33-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.