16 Aug · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1381
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nemec
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1386
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Nemec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (91)
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H20-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.