16 Aug · 14:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1466
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rein
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1471
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Rein
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H11-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.