16 Aug · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1482
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Komorowicz
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Komorowicz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.