16 Aug · 17:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1806
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Bochnak
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1659
FormLLLWL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kocab🌟Kocab covers set handicap as underdog 66% (41)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+147
H2H44-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-19)