16 Aug · 20:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Michal Sokol
ELO 1524
FormLWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Sokol
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1331
FormLLWLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Sokol
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+193
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)