16 Aug · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1627
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1570
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (121)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H39-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-32)