16 Aug · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1521
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jr
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1420
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
🌟Stefek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (34)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)