16 Aug · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1516
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sykora
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1488
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 74% (68)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H13-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.