16 Aug · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1516
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melichar
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1546
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Melichar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.