16 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1539
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molin
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1468
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 64% (64)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)