16 Aug · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1496
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Drozd
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1440
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 73% (33)
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)