16 Aug · 18:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1629
FormWWWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1806
FormWLWWL
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+177
H2H38-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-17)