16 Aug · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1492
FormL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1575
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)