16 Aug · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1634
3-2Final setsCerny won
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1640
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kocab at 52%. The actual result was Martin Cerny 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Kocab favoured — closing 1.53
Total 73.5
88 points played
Set handicap
Jan Kocab −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Kocab −5.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Cerny is favoured to win, below means Jan Kocab.
▲ Martin Cernypre 51% → final 89%
Jan Kocab ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsCerny recovered from 12%72 points · 4 games