16 Aug · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1602
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Radlo
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1504
FormWWWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H31-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-27)