17 Aug · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1454
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zajac
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1484
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Snr covers set handicap as underdog 81% (26)
Fair odds · Zajac
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.