17 Aug · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1485
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sevecek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1507
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (22)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.