17 Aug · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1488
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1548
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)