17 Aug · 12:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1555
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vinansky
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1568
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Vinansky covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.